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Original Message

Oscar, I don't see high definition as becoming a niche market long term.

Posted by Audiophilander on June 13, 2007 at 10:24:35:

It's part of the digital revolution that's upgrading television viewing from 4:3 Academy to 16:9 WS and from 460P to 760P and on to 1080I & 1080P); I believe that this is the driving impetus to higher resolution video distribution & software.

The way I see it, and the reason why this isn't comparable to earlier video wars where formats orphaned leaving early adoptors in the lurch (as Beta was to VHS, CED was to LD & DIVX was to DVD), is that the technology and desire for market share is out-pacing the war strategies and being driven from the front end (HD television delivery systems). As the pricing of players is forced down through competition and dual format players become more readily available the format orphaning issue will become moot.

IMHO, the only things currently standing in the way of HD format acceptance are 1) competitive hardware and software pricing, as in competitive with the current SD format players and software and 2) region coding issues which may restrict playing legit releases of prized international film fare once it's transfered to European and Asian HD formats. Note: This is another area where Blu-ray (in particular) may meet resistance from international film collectors as HD-DVD hasn't required a vigorous region lock-out as part of it's codec, but the ease of acquiring content from other regions is a factor to consider.

AuPh