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PS: Another "force" in the equation will be music distributors...

Posted by DevillEars on April 25, 2007 at 14:30:33:
... and just what they do in terms of media, distribution and in protecting intellectual rights.
When CD was introduced, music distributors - both wholesale and retail - rapidly removed vinyl as an alternative, in an attempt to force a migration. This proved to have been a "lesson well-learnt" and I don't believe the public will fall for a similar tactic again.
This time around, any shift is more likely to be driven by the market than by the suppliers - and any suppliers (of either music or the means to replay it) that don't follow the market shifts, won't survive.
The one "trump card" the suppliers do still have is "technology" and, when driven by commoditisation, decreasing costs. Solid state memory costs per storage unit are dropping at a phenomenal rate - although, to be fair, one is not being offered "the same for less", but rather "more for the same" - consider memory cards for digital cameras.
The underpinning issue here is that the dynamics of the home entertainment market are exceedingly complex and any oversimplification is dangerous...

DevillEars