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The Scientific Method
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Posted on November 16, 2002 at 15:12:27 | ||
A while back on AR, Monstrous Mike posted the following material from Carl Sagan, which I believe bears repeating at this point. In The Demon Haunted World Carl Sagan suggested some "tools for skeptical thinking." These include: 1. Wherever possible there must be independent confirmation of the "facts." 2. Encourage substantive debate on the evidence by knowledgeable proponents of all points of view. 4. Spin more than one hypothesis. If there's something to be explained, think of all the different ways in which it could be explained. Then think of tests by which you might systematically disprove each of the alternatives. What survives, the hypothesis that resists disproof in this Darwinian selection among "multiple working hypotheses" has a much better chance of being the right answer than if you had simply run with the first idea that caught your fancy. 5. Try not to get overly attached to a hypothesis just because it's yours. It’s only a way station in the pursuit of knowledge. Ask yourself why you like the idea. Compare it fairly with the alternatives. See if you can find reasons for rejecting it. If you don’t, others will. 6. Quantify. If whatever it is you’re explaining has some measure, some numerical quantity attached to it, you'll be much better able to discriminate among competing hypotheses. What is vague and qualitative is open to many explanations. Of course there are truths to be sought in the many qualitative issues we are obliged to confront, but finding them is more challenging. 9. Always ask whether the hypothesis can be, at least in principle, falsified. Propositions that are untestable, unfalsifiable are not worth much. Consider the grand idea that our Universe and everything in it is just an elementary particle-an electron, say-in a much bigger Cosmos. But if we can never acquire information from outside our Universe, is not the idea incapable of disproof? You must be able to check assertions out. Inveterate skeptics must be given the chance to follow your reasoning, to duplicate your experiments and see if they get the same result. 10. The reliance on carefully designed and controlled experiments is key. We will not learn much from mere contemplation. It is tempting to rest content with the first candidate explanation we can think of. One is much better than none. But what happens if we can invent several? How do we decide among them? We don’t. We let experiment do it. ON SCIENCE LITERACY: "All inquiries carry with them some element of risk. There is no guarantee that the universe will conform to our predispositions. But I do not see how we can deal with the universe-both the outside and the inside universe-without studying it. The best way to avoid abuses is for the populace in general to be scientifically literate, to understand the implications of such investigations. In exchange for freedom of inquiry, scientists are obliged to explain their work. If science is considered a closed priesthood, too difficult and arcane for the average person to understand, the dangers of abuse are greater. But if science is a topic of general interest and concern - if both its delights and its social consequences are discussed regularly and competently in the schools, the press, and at the dinner table - we have greatly improved our prospects for learning how the world really is and for improving both it and us."
Yet, when I come to this forum, in my view, my subjective opinions of different cables, my personal belief as to whether all wires sound the same or different, my 30 plus years of experience as an audiophile, my system, whether I even own a system and whether I’ve even ever listened to a system are, in most instances, irrelevant. What I believe is relevant and appropriate at this particular forum is that I follow Carl Sagan’s guidelines in my discussions, and to attack and question ideas, statements and claims, but not people. I believe that it is inappropriate at this forum for me to attack someone’s professional competency, their level of education or any other personal quality they may or may not possess. To the extent I advance my own beliefs or opinion, I hope to do so respectfully and reasonably, and be fully open for those opinions and beliefs being subjected to intense critical review; and if I believe I have been mistaken to admit it openly. I believe my sole motive at this forum should be to contribute as best I can to the fearless and dispassionate pursuit of the truth. On the other hand, if someone challenges my credibility, integrity, professional competency or ethics as a lawyer, or attempts to saddle me with beliefs, opinions, claims or statements I have never made or advanced (all of which I have experienced on internet audio boards), I will fight to defend myself if necessary.
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Thx for the Clarification .nt, posted on November 17, 2002 at 18:51:44 | |
Posts: 2613
Location: MAINE USA Joined: July 27, 2002 |
nt |
Re: Who on the asylum says this?, posted on November 18, 2002 at 04:03:58 | |
Posts: 2613
Location: MAINE USA Joined: July 27, 2002 |
http://www.audioasylum.com/forums/prophead/messages/473.html |
Hmmm., posted on November 18, 2002 at 10:46:22 | |
Interesting. JJ - Philalethist and Annoyer of Bullies |
Great minds and Marines think alike (nt), posted on November 18, 2002 at 12:11:10 | |
nt |