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In Reply to: It's Science posted by jedrider on February 18, 2015 at 18:51:27:
I think they don't know what the hell is going on and this is an overly simplistic. Yes, I know it SEEMS complicated, but trust me the truth is more complicated than we can understand or model.
This article and Michael Mann are purely speculating and trying to cobble together an explanation to fit the observations but most likely if one digs a bit deeper there are plenty of holes in their arguments.
NOTE! I am not saying that global warming is true or false, I am merely pointing out that what they are providing as an explanation is a simplistic rationalization of something very, very complicated and they are unlikely to be right about it. I am sure a good cooling story could be crafted around the same observations.
There are so many interdependent and highly non-linear systems with both negative and positive feedback effects that I think the models used grossly oversimplify...just like economic models that are complete BS once some stress is applied that triggers non-linear dependencies.
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Follow Ups
- Its a lot more complicated than that! - morricab 02:11:34 02/19/15 (7)
- I take it that you are intimately familiar with the climate models and underlying assumptions (nt) - Steve O 09:21:31 02/19/15 (1)
- The climate scientists call him direct whenever they are uncertain (NT) - jedrider 09:55:40 02/19/15 (0)
- +1 - Inmate51 08:37:52 02/19/15 (3)
- The thing is... - b.l.zeebub 09:10:10 02/20/15 (0)
- RE: -1 - mkuller 10:09:08 02/19/15 (1)
- +1. (nt) - reelsmith. 15:40:56 02/19/15 (0)
- You mean like trying to judge an amp based on topology? LOL...nt - kuribo 06:09:44 02/19/15 (0)