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t's going to be interesting to see if their strategy works...

... against trends in the market that they appear to be ignoring...

Without getting into the "High-End Audio is dying" debate, it would be worth their while to take a step back and analyse just where the market is likely to go over the next 2,4,6,8,10 years and than re-evaluate their strategy.

One can look back 2,4,6,8 years and detect a number of trends in the patterns of spending in the area of home entertainment and the impact of "new entrants" into the buyer community as youths become young adults.

Looking beyond the "symptoms" of the shifts in buying patterns and getting down to the "drivers" that motivate buyers and, as a result, what they look for - and then doing so retrospectively to understand the "why" of the shifts over the last 6-8 years and then to try to look into the future at the next 4 or 5 waves of newer entrants and what their "drivers" will be, is a complex set of tasks - but an essential one if the "right strategy" is to be selected.

I have no concrete evidence to support this, but - from participation in a number of audio forums - it appears that in the area of pure 2-channel audio, the average age of active afficionados is increasing as time goes by and fewer new young entrants join the party.

Also, from discussions with various dealers, we've already seen 2-channel lose ground to multi-channel (both in music and video applications), and - right now - we're seeing both 2-channel and multi-channel losing ground to newer "vehicles" that provide a combination of convenience, portability, accessibility, and lower cost.

This last "recipe" comprises a mixture - portable solid-state storage of music/videos and on-line access to programme material that is also more conveniently acquired via downloading.

Just where this is going to go over the next few years is the question that needs to be answered.

As I mentioned earlier, this is not intended as another "prophecy of doom" for 2-channel audio, just an analysis of the shifts that have, are and will take place in the apportionment of discretionary spening in the area of home entertainment - and the prognosis for pure 2-channel audio is that it's "share of the pie" will, in effect, shrink as explosive growth other areas sees more and more of the same pie being spent on other more "relevant" technologies that address the constantly shifting needs of an evolving market.

My personal view is that any strategy that is based on a dwindling target market will eventually implode - although narrowing the focus can provide a temporary "stay-of-execution".

"Linn-Watching" could become an interesting side-line... :-)

DevillEars


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